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🟡 Iran War continues, Strait of Hormuz remains closed, sharp drop in Chinese aircraft flying near Taiwan, Alibaba AI agent mystery || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #10/2026
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🟡 US and Israel strike Iran, Iran retaliates against US allies, Anthropic designated a supply chain risk || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
Mar 2
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Vidur Kapur
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belikewater
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Tolga Bilge
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🟩 US buildup in Middle East continues, Russian vessel en route to Cuba, AI time horizons lengthen | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #8/2026
Executive summary
Feb 23
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Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
31
3
7
🟩 US sends second aircraft carrier to Middle East, European nuclear deterrent discussed, pandemic preparedness deprioritized at NIAID …
Executive summary
Feb 16
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
35
4
7
🟩 Anthropic and OpenAI release new models, US-Iran talks continue, illegal biolab in the US, nuclear arms treaty expires | Global Risks…
Executive summary
Feb 9
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
30
1
5
🟩 AI social network Moltbook grows, US-Iran tensions simmer, Nipah pandemic unlikely || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #5/2026
Executive summary
Feb 2
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
26
8
6
🟩 Trump walks back Greenland threats, US sends warships to the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine peace talks continue || Global Risks Weekly…
Trump backs down on Greendland, US warships to the Middle East, more widespread AI assistants.
Jan 26
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Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
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belikewater
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Tolga Bilge
30
2
6
🟨 "I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace", Iran halts executions, OpenAI/Musk emails and notes || Global Risks Weekly…
Executive summary
Jan 19
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
50
12
7
🟩 Trump administration mulls strikes on Iran and says the US will own Greenland, DOJ launches investigation into Fed Chair || Global Risks…
Executive summary
Jan 12
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
31
2
3
🟩 US attacks Venezuela and captures Maduro, threatens Iran, Mexico, Colombia and Denmark || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #1/2026
Executive summary
Jan 5
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Tolga Bilge
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
belikewater
42
1
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🟩 Forecasts for drone attacks and AI time horizons; China holds military drills around Taiwan and imposes sanctions on US arms…
Executive summary
Dec 29, 2025
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
29
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🟩 AI unemployment and IPOs in 2026, EU funds Ukraine from its own pockets, US seizes Chinese-owned tanker || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
Dec 22, 2025
•
Nuño Sempere
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belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
27
3
5
🟩 EU freezes Russian assets, US and Iran seize oil tankers, Trump restricts AI regulation || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #50/2025
Executive summary
Dec 15, 2025
•
Nuño Sempere
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belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
22
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5
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