War (23%), natural pandemic (22%), the unexpected (21%), WW3 specifically (12%), AI (10%), ..., US civil war (0.92%), solar storm (0.2%), asteroid impact (0.02%), vacuum decay (<~1e-8)
How Likely Are Various Precursors of…
War (23%), natural pandemic (22%), the unexpected (21%), WW3 specifically (12%), AI (10%), ..., US civil war (0.92%), solar storm (0.2%), asteroid impact (0.02%), vacuum decay (<~1e-8)