Executive summary
What probability does Sentinel put on US troops on the ground in Iran before end of 2026?
Polymarket at 33% doesn't seem unreasonable https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027
What probability does Sentinel put on US troops on the ground in Iran before end of 2026?
Polymarket at 33% doesn't seem unreasonable https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027