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No Magic Pill's avatar

Wikipedia tells me that the last official nuclear test (not including North Korea) occurred in the 90s. Based on the single-sentence mention of the U.S. accusing China of testing in 2020, Sentinel doesn't seem to think it's a big deal. That being said, non-U.S. orgs have said they didn't detect any sort of test, so who knows.

To my inexperienced self, it seems like a not-small deal that a major nation is carrying out nuclear tests in secret given the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty of 1996. I recognize that both the U.S. and China did not ratify it, so perhaps it's just a "hey look at us we're committed to peace on paper kind of but not actually because we're continuing development".

Is that a fair assessment? Do you place any probability on the China test being legitimate or the U.S. making the accusation for some other strategic reason?