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Mateusz Bagiński's avatar

I'm kind of surprised that there's no forecasters' estimate of [some specific relevant Trump Greenland thing] happening (except for the prevention attempt via bill).

Brian Tan's avatar

There was one in the previous week; maybe their estimate hasn't changed much?

Mateusz Bagiński's avatar

My understanding was that the reason they switched from Green to Yellow was the Greenland thing.

Nuño Sempere's avatar

Yes, a combination of Trump;s insistence, his announced taiffs and Europe preparing countermeasures + Trump mulling invoking the Insurrection Act. The underlying drive is somewhat bellicose Trump decisionmaking.

No Magic Pill's avatar

Do you have examples of "costly action[s] at the individual level" for both orange and red alert levels? Pulling money out of the U.S.? Physically moving out of the U.S.? Stocking up on guns, ammo, food, and water?

Nuño Sempere's avatar

Depends on the threat, some might be: Physically moving out of the US into a more stable country, intense financial bets, orienting one's institution around addressing a threat, paying lots of money to manufacture a vaccine or to import masks.