Sentinel is a foresight team and emergency response team seeking to anticipate & react to large-scale catastrophes, particularly those of a speculative nature. You can read more about us on our main webpage.
This newsletter summarizes events detected by our foresight team that could be predictive of large-scale catastrophes. We parse millions of news items a week, do an initial prioritization pass will LLMs, and process them and offer some probabilities by our foresight team.
Audio narrations of this blog are available on our podcast. Search “Sentinel Minutes” or subscribe via Apple Podcasts, Spotify, RSS, or other platforms.
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Head of foresight at Sentinel, a team covering the top global catastrophic risks each week. Also write a monthly forecasting newsletter at forecasting.substack.com
Superforecaster at Good Judgment. Also forecasting at Sentinel, Swift Centre, Samotsvety, RAND and a hedge fund. Impartial beneficence enthusiast.
Forecasting.
AI Policy Researcher at ControlAI