Archive - Sentinel Global Risks Watch

April 2025

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #17/2025: India-Pakistan standoff, Iran and Ukraine talks, AI time horizons

After a terrorist attack in Kashmir left 26 dead, relations between India and Pakistan sharply deteriorated, culminating in the exchange of fire across…

Apr 28 •

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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #16/2025: Trade disruptions, US hacks China Winter Games, OpenAI not testing finetuned models.

Also Iran nuclear talks, dollar falling, trade disruptions.

Apr 21 •

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The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash

83% true that the Trump administration has disobeyed the Supreme Court so far

Apr 21 •

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #15/2025: Tariff yoyo, OpenAI slashing safety testing, Iran nuclear programme negotiations, 1K H5N1 confirmed…

The Trump administration backtracked from his tariff plan, reducing tariffs from most countries to 10%, but imposing tariffs of 145% on China, which…

Apr 14 •

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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #14/2025: Chinese military exercises, French 2027 election front-runner banned, stock market fall

China carried out more aggressive live-fire military exercises around Taiwan...

Apr 7 •

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March 2025

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #13/2025: Bombing Iran, Turkey protests, mpox waning.

US directed more military assets to positions near Iran... There are large-scale demonstrations in Turkey... Food is running out in Gaza...

Mar 31 •

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1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April

starting most likely between April 10 and April 25 and ending likely before May 1.

Mar 27 •

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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #12/2025: Famine in Gaza, H7N9 outbreak, US geopolitical leadership weakening.

Status: Greenish 🟢

Mar 24 •

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Sentinel's Global Risks Weekly Roundup #11/2025. Trump invokes Alien Enemies Act, Chinese invasion barges deployed in exercise.

Sentinel status: Greenish 🟢

Mar 17 •

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Sentinel minutes #10/2025: Trump tariffs, US/China tensions, Claude code reward hacking.

Sentinel status: Greenish 🟢

Mar 10 •

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