🟡 US and Israel strike Iran, Iran retaliates against US allies, Anthropic designated a supply chain risk || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…

Executive summary

Mar 2 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

31

11

5

February 2026

🟩 US buildup in Middle East continues, Russian vessel en route to Cuba, AI time horizons lengthen | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #8/2026

Executive summary

Feb 23 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

30

3

7

🟩 US sends second aircraft carrier to Middle East, European nuclear deterrent discussed, pandemic preparedness deprioritized at NIAID …

Executive summary

Feb 16 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

35

4

7

🟩 Anthropic and OpenAI release new models, US-Iran talks continue, illegal biolab in the US, nuclear arms treaty expires | Global Risks…

Executive summary

Feb 9 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

30

1

5

🟩 AI social network Moltbook grows, US-Iran tensions simmer, Nipah pandemic unlikely || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #5/2026

Executive summary

Feb 2 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

26

8

6

January 2026

🟩 Trump walks back Greenland threats, US sends warships to the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine peace talks continue || Global Risks Weekly…

Trump backs down on Greendland, US warships to the Middle East, more widespread AI assistants.

Jan 26 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

30

2

6

🟨 "I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace", Iran halts executions, OpenAI/Musk emails and notes || Global Risks Weekly…

Executive summary

Jan 19 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

50

12

7

🟩 Trump administration mulls strikes on Iran and says the US will own Greenland, DOJ launches investigation into Fed Chair || Global Risks…

Executive summary

Jan 12 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

31

2

3

🟩 US attacks Venezuela and captures Maduro, threatens Iran, Mexico, Colombia and Denmark || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #1/2026

Executive summary

Jan 5 • Nuño Sempere, Tolga Bilge, Vidur Kapur, and belikewater

43

1

7

December 2025

🟩 Forecasts for drone attacks and AI time horizons; China holds military drills around Taiwan and imposes sanctions on US arms…

Executive summary

Dec 29, 2025 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

29

5

🟩 AI unemployment and IPOs in 2026, EU funds Ukraine from its own pockets, US seizes Chinese-owned tanker || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…

Executive summary

Dec 22, 2025 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

27

3

5

🟩 EU freezes Russian assets, US and Iran seize oil tankers, Trump restricts AI regulation || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #50/2025

Executive summary

Dec 15, 2025 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

22

5

5