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🟡 Oil and gas facilities attacked in the Middle East, another US Marine unit deploying to the Middle East, desalination plants threatened…
Executive summary
Mar 23
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
28
3
4
🟡 US bombs Kharg Island in Iran, US Marine unit deploying to Middle East, oil prices around $100 || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #11/2026
The US bombed Kharg Island, home to Iran’s main oil terminal, but spared its oil facilities. A US Marine Expeditionary Unit is being sent from Japan to…
Mar 16
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
29
5
8
🟡 Iran War continues, Strait of Hormuz remains closed, sharp drop in Chinese aircraft flying near Taiwan, Alibaba AI agent mystery …
Executive summary
Mar 9
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
30
9
6
🟡 US and Israel strike Iran, Iran retaliates against US allies, Anthropic designated a supply chain risk || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…
Executive summary
Mar 2
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
33
11
5
February 2026
🟩 US buildup in Middle East continues, Russian vessel en route to Cuba, AI time horizons lengthen | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #8/2026
Executive summary
Feb 23
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
32
3
7
🟩 US sends second aircraft carrier to Middle East, European nuclear deterrent discussed, pandemic preparedness deprioritized at NIAID …
Executive summary
Feb 16
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
36
4
7
🟩 Anthropic and OpenAI release new models, US-Iran talks continue, illegal biolab in the US, nuclear arms treaty expires | Global Risks…
Executive summary
Feb 9
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
31
1
5
🟩 AI social network Moltbook grows, US-Iran tensions simmer, Nipah pandemic unlikely || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #5/2026
Executive summary
Feb 2
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
27
8
6
January 2026
🟩 Trump walks back Greenland threats, US sends warships to the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine peace talks continue || Global Risks Weekly…
Trump backs down on Greendland, US warships to the Middle East, more widespread AI assistants.
Jan 26
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
31
2
6
🟨 "I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace", Iran halts executions, OpenAI/Musk emails and notes || Global Risks Weekly…
Executive summary
Jan 19
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
51
12
7
🟩 Trump administration mulls strikes on Iran and says the US will own Greenland, DOJ launches investigation into Fed Chair || Global Risks…
Executive summary
Jan 12
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
32
2
3
🟩 US attacks Venezuela and captures Maduro, threatens Iran, Mexico, Colombia and Denmark || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #1/2026
Executive summary
Jan 5
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Tolga Bilge
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
belikewater
43
1
7
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