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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #16/2025: Trade disruptions, US hacks China Winter Games, OpenAI not testing finetuned models.
Also Iran nuclear talks, dollar falling, trade disruptions.
Apr 21
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
12
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #16/2025: Trade disruptions, US hacks China Winter Games, OpenAI not testing finetuned models.
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2
The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash
83% true that the Trump administration has disobeyed the Supreme Court so far
Apr 21
•
Nuño Sempere
13
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash
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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #15/2025: Tariff yoyo, OpenAI slashing safety testing, Iran nuclear programme negotiations, 1K H5N1 confirmed…
The Trump administration backtracked from his tariff plan, reducing tariffs from most countries to 10%, but imposing tariffs of 145% on China, which…
Apr 14
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Vidur Kapur
, and
Tolga Bilge
18
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #15/2025: Tariff yoyo, OpenAI slashing safety testing, Iran nuclear programme negotiations, 1K H5N1 confirmed herd infections.
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3
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #14/2025: Chinese military exercises, French 2027 election front-runner banned, stock market fall
China carried out more aggressive live-fire military exercises around Taiwan...
Apr 7
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Tolga Bilge
,
belikewater
, and
Vidur Kapur
17
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #14/2025: Chinese military exercises, French 2027 election front-runner banned, stock market fall
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March 2025
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #13/2025: Bombing Iran, Turkey protests, mpox waning.
US directed more military assets to positions near Iran... There are large-scale demonstrations in Turkey... Food is running out in Gaza...
Mar 31
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Tolga Bilge
, and
Vidur Kapur
27
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #13/2025: Bombing Iran, Turkey protests, mpox waning.
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1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April
starting most likely between April 10 and April 25 and ending likely before May 1.
Mar 27
•
belikewater
,
Nuño Sempere
, and
Vidur Kapur
30
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April
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3
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #12/2025: Famine in Gaza, H7N9 outbreak, US geopolitical leadership weakening.
Status: Greenish 🟢
Mar 24
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
22
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Global Risks Weekly Roundup #12/2025: Famine in Gaza, H7N9 outbreak, US geopolitical leadership weakening.
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7
Sentinel's Global Risks Weekly Roundup #11/2025. Trump invokes Alien Enemies Act, Chinese invasion barges deployed in exercise.
Sentinel status: Greenish 🟢
Mar 17
•
Nuño Sempere
,
belikewater
,
Tolga Bilge
, and
Vidur Kapur
20
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Sentinel's Global Risks Weekly Roundup #11/2025. Trump invokes Alien Enemies Act, Chinese invasion barges deployed in exercise.
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Sentinel minutes #10/2025: Trump tariffs, US/China tensions, Claude code reward hacking.
Sentinel status: Greenish 🟢
Mar 10
•
Nuño Sempere
18
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Sentinel minutes #10/2025: Trump tariffs, US/China tensions, Claude code reward hacking.
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Sentinel minutes for week #9/2025—Trump Zelensky clash, very unlikely federal default, new AI models.
Status: Greenish 🟢
Mar 3
•
Nuño Sempere
,
Vidur Kapur
,
belikewater
, and
Tolga Bilge
22
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Sentinel minutes for week #9/2025—Trump Zelensky clash, very unlikely federal default, new AI models.
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February 2025
Sentinel minutes for week #8/2025: "We are the federal law"
Sentinel status: Greenish 🟢 = no costly urgent action recommended to our reserve team.
Feb 24
•
Nuño Sempere
14
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Sentinel minutes for week #8/2025: "We are the federal law"
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2
Sentinel minutes #7/2025: “Judges aren't allowed to control the executive's legitimate power.”
Status: Greenish 🟢
Feb 17
•
Nuño Sempere
10
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Sentinel Global Risks Watch
Sentinel minutes #7/2025: “Judges aren't allowed to control the executive's legitimate power.”
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5
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