Archive - Sentinel Global Risks Watch

Endgames and escalations of the US and Japan's expensive debt problem – Itay Vinik

Listen now | Itay Vinik is the cofounder and Chief Investment Officer of Equi, an alternatives investment fund that deeply considers rare market…

21 hrs ago •

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45:37

Iran nuclear talks survive, Claude 4 release, trade tensions reignite | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #21/2025.

...and the short term-chance of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan this year and the next.

May 26 •

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US credit rating downgraded, $1T in Gulf state investments in the US, Kurdistan Workers’ Party disbanded | Global Risks Weekly Roundup…

Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating, Gulf states agreed to more than $1T in US investments and joint enterprises during a visit by Trump to the…

May 19 •

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Scott Eastman – Sentinel Forecaster Introduction

Listen now | Scott Eastman has been professionally forecasting for over a decade with major forecasting groups, some of which advise the US intelligence…

May 16 •

45:50

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #19/2025: India/Pakistan ceasefire, US/China tariffs deal & OpenAI nonprofit control

India and Pakistan have agreed to a ceasefire, and despite initial breaches, it now seems to be holding.

May 12 •

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The Risk of Nuclear War Between India and Pakistan

Listen now | Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, and Lisa discuss the possibility of nuclear escalation between India and Pakistan.

May 9 •

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30:51

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #18/2025: US tariff shortages, military policing, Gaza famine.

Shortages of some goods expected in the US starting later this month, because of tariffs.

May 5 •

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April 2025

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #17/2025: India-Pakistan standoff, Iran and Ukraine talks, AI time horizons

After a terrorist attack in Kashmir left 26 dead, relations between India and Pakistan sharply deteriorated, culminating in the exchange of fire across…

Apr 28 •

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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #16/2025: Trade disruptions, US hacks China Winter Games, OpenAI not testing finetuned models.

Also Iran nuclear talks, dollar falling, trade disruptions.

Apr 21 •

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The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash

83% true that the Trump administration has disobeyed the Supreme Court so far

Apr 21 •

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #15/2025: Tariff yoyo, OpenAI slashing safety testing, Iran nuclear programme negotiations, 1K H5N1 confirmed…

The Trump administration backtracked from his tariff plan, reducing tariffs from most countries to 10%, but imposing tariffs of 145% on China, which…

Apr 14 •

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Global Risks Weekly Roundup #14/2025: Chinese military exercises, French 2027 election front-runner banned, stock market fall

China carried out more aggressive live-fire military exercises around Taiwan...

Apr 7 •

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