🟡 US-Iran stalemate continues, Putin says Ukraine war may come to an end, White House considers AI executive order || Global Risks Weekly…

Executive summary

May 11 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

27

3

6

🟡 Iran says it will target US naval vessels, UAE leaves OPEC, GPT-5.5 similar to Mythos on cyber tasks || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…

Executive summary

May 4 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

22

10

5

April 2026

🟡 US-Iran peace talks called off, unauthorized access to Claude Mythos, shots fired at Trump dinner, El Niño coming || Global Risks Weekly…

Executive summary

Apr 27 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

30

4

9

🟡 US seizes Iranian cargo ship, Iran-US peace talks uncertain, cyberattack estimates || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #16/2026

Executive summary

Apr 20 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

27

7

9

🟡 US to blockade Iranian ports, Iran peace talks end without agreement, Anthropic Mythos released to tech and cyber firms || Global Risks…

Executive summary

Apr 13 • Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, and Tolga Bilge

23

6

4

🟡 Trump threatens Iranian power and desalination plants, aviators from downed F-15E rescued, Claude Code leak, updated ASI timelines …

Executive summary

Apr 6 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

24

10

3

March 2026

🟡 Iranian steel and nuclear plants bombed, Houthi attacks begin, AI solves open problem in mathematics || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…

Executive summary

Mar 30 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

27

6

🟡 Oil and gas facilities attacked in the Middle East, another US Marine unit deploying to the Middle East, desalination plants threatened…

Executive summary

Mar 23 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

30

3

4

🟡 US bombs Kharg Island in Iran, US Marine unit deploying to Middle East, oil prices around $100 || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #11/2026

The US bombed Kharg Island, home to Iran’s main oil terminal, but spared its oil facilities. A US Marine Expeditionary Unit is being sent from Japan to…

Mar 16 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

31

5

8

🟡 Iran War continues, Strait of Hormuz remains closed, sharp drop in Chinese aircraft flying near Taiwan, Alibaba AI agent mystery …

Executive summary

Mar 9 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

30

9

6

🟡 US and Israel strike Iran, Iran retaliates against US allies, Anthropic designated a supply chain risk || Global Risks Weekly Roundup…

Executive summary

Mar 2 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

33

11

5

February 2026

🟩 US buildup in Middle East continues, Russian vessel en route to Cuba, AI time horizons lengthen | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #8/2026

Executive summary

Feb 23 • Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, and Tolga Bilge

32

3

7